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Food, timber, and climate change

October 1, 2024 By EarthWise Leave a Comment

Food and timber production will increasing be in conflict with one another as the climate warms

The sights of coffee plantations in California and vineyards in Britain are becoming more common as the climate changes. But behind what sounds like a success story is a sobering one: climate change is shifting the regions suitable for growing food all around the world. 

According to a new study by researchers from the University of Cambridge, as crop growing shifts northwards, a squeeze will be put on the land needed to produce timber.  The timber these trees produce is used to make everything from paper and cardboard to furniture and buildings.

According to the study, which was recently published in the journal Nature Climate Change, more than 25% of existing forestry land – an area equivalent in size to India – will become more suitable for agriculture by the end of the century if climate change continues unabated.  Approximately 90% of this current forestry land is located in Canada, China, Russia, and the United States.    

Global timber production is worth more than $1.5 trillion every year.  Recent heat waves and wildfires have caused huge losses of timber forests around the world. 

According to the World Bank, the value of the global food system is estimated to be roughly $8 trillion annually.  Scientists expect climate change to cause some areas to become too hot for growing food, particularly in the tropics and southern Europe. 

With the global demand for food and the global demand for wood both projected to double by 2050, the increasing climate change-driven competition between the two is set to be an emerging issue in the coming decades. 

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Global timber supply threatened as climate change pushes cropland northwards

Do the costs of the global food system outweigh its monetary value?

Photo, posted October 24, 2018, courtesy of Bill Smith via Flickr.

Earth Wise is a production of WAMC Northeast Public Radio

Coral Reefs And Fish Survival | Earth Wise

August 25, 2021 By EarthWise Leave a Comment

The warming and acidifying oceans threaten corals, fish, and livelihoods

The precarious state of the world’s coral reefs has been a highly visible subject for a decade or more.  Mostly what we hear about is the loss of some of the most beautiful sights on the planet. But there is far more at stake than scenic wonders.

The warming and acidifying of ocean waters are causing corals to increasingly bleach and often die.  Corals provide a unique food source for some species of fish and a three-dimensional habitat for many others.  The fish that depend on corals are often prey for fish that don’t depend directly on corals and so on up the food chain.

What happens to fish when coral reefs disappear?  The fish species that feed on corals will starve while others will seek alternative rocky habitats.

A new study by the University of Helsinki uses statistical methods to predict how fish diversity will respond to declines in coral diversity. It concludes that a future coral loss might cause a 40% reduction in reef fish diversity globally.  This is more than a loss of colorful sights for snorkelers; reef fishes provide essential protein for millions of people around the world.

The estimate of potential loss of fish species greatly exceeds the number of species known to depend directly or even indirectly on coral.  The implication is that coral reef food webs will begin to unravel if corals go extinct.  This unraveling is expected to be worse in some places than others.  The Central Pacific, for example, could lose 60% of its reef fish.

For both snorkelers and for the millions who depend upon reef fishes for food, the need for greater efforts to conserve and restore coral reefs is apparent.

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A fu­ture ocean that is too warm for cor­als might have half as many fish spe­cies

Photo, posted September 27, 2009, courtesy of Matt Kieffer via Flickr.

Earth Wise is a production of WAMC Northeast Public Radio.

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