rapid warming

Estuaries and their surrounding wetlands are bodies of water where freshwater from rivers and streams mixes with salt water from the ocean to create brackish water. These brackish ecosystems support many unique plant and animal communities around the world.

But ocean water temperature around the world continues to warm. In fact, from 1901 to 2023, the average sea surface temperature has increased by 0.14°F per decade, and 2023 was the warmest year on record.

While sea surface temperatures are on the rise, the problem is more pronounced in South Florida’s estuaries. According to a new study by researchers from the University of South Florida College of Marine Science and the National Park Service, estuaries have experienced rapid warming over the past two decades.

In fact, the research team found that sea surface temperature in four estuaries in South Florida – Florida Bay, Tampa Bay, St. Lucie Estuary and Caloosahatchee River Estuary- has risen around 70% faster than the Gulf of Mexico, and 500% faster than the global oceans.

Their findings, which were recently published in the journals Environmental Research Letters and Estuaries and Coasts, paint a troubling picture for the marine life that calls South Florida’s estuaries home.

The research team has speculated about the possible causes of the rapid rate of warming, including evaporation, water capacity, and residence time, but no single factor has been revealed as dominant.

The researchers hope to partner with colleagues at the Florida Fish and Wildlife Conservation Commission and NOAA to explore the potential impacts of water temperatures on seagrass and coral populations in South Florida.

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Estuaries in South Florida are warming faster than the Gulf of Mexico and global ocean

What is an estuary?

Photo, posted August 18, 2016, courtesy of City of St. Pete via Flickr.

Earth Wise is a production of WAMC Northeast Public Radio

The most recent report from the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate change includes discussion of a number of extreme and untested solutions to the climate crisis. Among these are solar geoengineering – modifying clouds or spraying tiny reflective particles into the upper atmosphere in order to block some of the sun’s light and thereby cool the planet. The underlying principles are relatively straightforward.

There have been various models that predict the extent to which solar geoengineering would lower the earth’s average temperature. What hasn’t been modeled to any real extent is what other effects it would have.

The new report discusses the results of models that predict how temperatures would vary at different latitudes and how geoengineering would affect rainfall and snowfall. According to the models, releasing sulfate aerosols into the upper atmosphere to block sunlight would lower average precipitation. But every region would be affected differently. Some regions would gain in an artificially cooler world, but others might, for example, suffer by no longer having suitable conditions to grow crops.

The drop in temperature would allow the planet’s carbon sinks (plants, soils, and oceans) to take up more carbon dioxide from the atmosphere. However, as long as people continue to pollute, carbon dioxide would continue to make the oceans more acidic, causing significant harm to marine ecosystems. Furthermore, solar geoengineering would have to be an ongoing process that would go on indefinitely and if it were to suddenly stop, it would lead to rapid warming.

The more we learn about geoengineering, the more it becomes clear that there would be many side effects as well as serious moral, political, and practical issues. Society has to consider if all these things represent too much danger to allow us to seriously consider such a strategy.

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In the New UN Climate Report, a Better Understanding of Solar Geoengineering

Photo, posted September 9, 2012, courtesy of Kelly Nighan via Flickr.

Earth Wise is a production of WAMC Northeast Public Radio.

Warming estuaries

Estuaries and their surrounding wetlands are bodies of water where freshwater from rivers and streams mixes with salt water from the ocean to create brackish water. These brackish ecosystems support many unique plant and animal communities around the world.

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Understanding Geoengineering | Earth Wise

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